Wednesday, March 08, 2006

TN - Not Looking Good for Ford, Jr.

If Memphis Congressman Harold Ford, Jr. (D-TN) (looking rather tired and worn last night on CNN's Lou Dobbs Tonight) not careful, we may have to rescind our prediction for 2006. Up against potential Republican rivals, Ford doesn't fare well in November. Attached is the latest Rasmussen Poll, which the Black political establishment may question based on exactly who and where in TN they polled:

Of the Republican candidates, Representative Ed Bryant fares best against Ford, leading 45% to 36%. In January, the Rasmussen Reports Tennessee election poll showed Bryant leading 42% to 40%.

Representative Van Hilleary leads Ford 43% to 35%. Support for Hilleary is unchanged since January, but Ford was then at 37%.

Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker leads Ford 39% to 35%. Support for both Corker and Ford has declined since January. With both men below 40% and a quarter of the voters undecided, it's hard to say either candidate is ahead in this match-up.

Respondents unaffiliated with either major party favor the Republican candidates by roughly two-to-one margins. But moderates prefer Ford over the Republicans by about the same large margins.

Ford is viewed favorably by 47%, about the same as shown by our last poll. Bryant is viewed favorably by 44%, a slight decline. Corker is viewed favorably by 38%, a six-point decline. The number of voters who view Hilleary favorably is unchanged at 51%.

Ford enjoys the second-highest favorable rating of the four candidates in our poll. But he also has the highest unfavorable rating.


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