Wednesday, April 19, 2006
In general election match-ups to succeed retiring Senator Paul Sarbanes, Democrats are in a good position heading into the fall elections. Third District Congressman Ben Cardin leads Lieutenant Governor Michael Steele 49% to 35%, with 16% undecided.
Steele is capturing 77% of the GOP vote, but Cardin is up 76%-12% among Democrats, and leads 39% to 31% with independents.
Against Cardin, The Lieutenant Governor is doing slightly better among black voters (capturing 21%) than is traditional for Republicans in Maryland. But, ultimately, Steele will need to accomplish what any statewide Republican candidate in Maryland must do to be successful on Election Day – persuade about 1-in-3 Democrats to vote for him.
In the United States Senate Primary, Ben Cardin leads Kweisi Mfume, 39% to 31%, with 4% for Lise Van Sustern, 2% for Allan Lichtman, 1% each for Josh Rales and Dennis Rasmussen and 22% undecided. Cardin is up among white voters, 49% to 13%, while Mfume has a strong advantage among black voters, 69% to 17%. Again, turnout could be very important in determining the winner.
In a match-up with former Congressman and NAACP president Kweisi Mfume, Steele trails 44% to 39%, with 17% undecided.
In this contest, Mfume garners 69% of Democrats and 78% of the black vote.
Thursday, April 06, 2006
Senator Debbie Stabenow (D) continues to lead three potential Republican challengers by double digits, but the challengers have gained a little ground over the past month. In our previous survey, Stabenow held leads of more than 20 points against each potential challenger. Now, the Senator leads both Oakland County Sheriff Michael Bouchard former Detroit city councilman Rev. Keith Butler by 14 points. The incumbent also leads Rev. Jerry Zandstra by just 11 points.
Wednesday, April 05, 2006
PA - Swann takes lead in New IssuesPA/Pew/Princeton Poll
34% remained undecided. In Philly, Rendell ran strongest with 60% to Swann's 12% vote. Black Philly (about 40% of the city) isn't so keen on Swann. Swann is strongest in south-central Pennsylvania, leading 46% to 13% vote.